Exchange Rate Risk and Uncertainty and Trade Flows: Asymmetric Evidence from Asia

The volatility of international trade flows and exchange rate uncertainty∗

Empirical evidence obtained from data covering Eurozone countries, other industrialized countries, and newly industrialized countries (NICs) over 1980– 2006 shows that exchange rate uncertainty has a consistent positive and significant effect on the volatility of bilateral trade flows. A one standard deviation increase in exchange rate uncertainty leads to an eight per cent increase in trade vo...

R&D Spillovers, Trade Integration And Expansion Of Trade Flows In East- West Asia And Pacific

Relationship between Economic Growth, Urban Concentration and Trade: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific

  There is a significant relationship between economic growth and the degree of urban concentration, as measured by primacy or the share of the largest city in an urban system. In accordance to urban economic theories, there is an inverse-U shape relationship between urban concentration –urban primacy- and economic growth. That is, as economy grows, urban concentration increases, approaches a...

On the Sensitivity of the Volume and Volatility of Bilateral Trade Flows to Exchange Rate Uncertainty

We present an empirical investigation of the hypotheses that exchange rate uncertainty may have an impact on both the volume and variability of trade flows by considering a broad set of industrial countries’ bilateral real trade flows over the period 1980–1998. Similar to the findings of earlier theoretical and empirical research, our first set of results shows that the impact of exchange rate ...

Vertical Trade, Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through, and Canada’s Exchange Rate Regime

The recent sharp appreciation of the Canadian dollar vs. the US dollar poses difficulties for the Canadian economy and reignites the debate as to whether Canada should fix the Canadian dollar to the US dollar by implementing a unilateral peg or forming a monetary union. We compare the welfare of different combinations of monetary and currency policies in an open-economy macroeconomic model that...